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Old 09-07-2010, 15:42   #422
marty99
First Lieutenant
 
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EU3 Complete
 
Join Date: Apr 2009
Location: Northern Ireland
Posts: 231
Okay, here goes, I'm gonna look at players behaviour and see what I can find, but without a wolf dead everything is circumstantial evidence
Yes I will look at players pack possibilities, but before you say anything TT, I'm not taking just any vote on someone as evidence that they can't be in a pack, just ones that are important in the conttext of the lynch, that put a player in danger of lynching

Ciryandor
For the first three days he voted Yakman or Walrus using the reason that they were animals
His behaviour has been very strange the whole game through, at first begging the wolves to hunt him, and in general seeming very apathetic about the game.
Now he's accusing several people with a lot of intensity and is very active. Could be a wolf who lay low the first few days but is now trying to sway the village
Unlikely packmates are Lemeard and Rysz. Showing pack behaviour with Snoopdogg

Lemeard
Usual hyperactive self, switching votes a lot. 1st day was pivotal in bringing the_hdk into the lead from nowhere and so saving Walrus and Snoop.
3rd day he voted Snoop again before switching soon after
His pm'ing tactic drew a lot of attention to himself, inviting a possible seer scan, not something a wolf would usually do in this type of game
Unlikely packmates Thistletooth, Lord Strange probably Tornadoli and marty99.
Showing pack behaviour with Snoopdogg

Thistletooth
Hard to read as I haven't played with him before. Has typed much but hasn't actually told us much, a lot of his energies on votecounts and goody-goody appeals for the JL to reveal itself (not a criticism btw, just an observation) 1st day random voted then switched to the-hdk just to prevent a possible TIE. Next two days has voted Lemeard, until a late switch on the 3rd day to Snoop. Hopefully he will tell us a bit more today about who he suspects
Unlikely packmates Lemeard and Snoopdogg, I would say myself too given our disagreements but maybe I'm biased

Tornadoli
Been quiet so far, although this is in line with his general WW behaviour the past couple of weeks or so. LSST first day. 2nd day a bit more active, voted Randy then quickly moved to put Lemeard in the lead on the rather contrived reason that his pm's were wolfish, saving Walrus (and Yakman) and moving Randakar away from danger as well. 3rd day voted Lemeard again, and that's the last we heard of him
Unlikely packmates Lemeard. Showing pack behaviour with Walrus

jonti-h
The usual style of play, active, spamming and getting Yakman killed.
However his serious posts have had less content in them than usual, doesn't seem to be involved in the game much, maybe that will change today or tomorrow
First 3 days voted Yakman. It's possible if he was a wolf he deliberately kept Yakman alive that long so he wouldn't have to post reasons to vote, and keep the attention away from him. OTOH the wolves could have been trying to set them both up and waste time by keeping them both alive

Rysz
Usual behaviour, relatively quiet but when he does post they are reasoned and thoughtful
However he has seemed to be seeking more credibility than in previous games, first day voted Snoop, ''because he suggested a four-way TIE'' although he knew perfectly well he was only jokng
Second day he voted Yakman with this post defending Lemeard. This brought Yakman into a TIE with Lemeard and pushed Walrus safe
Third day he voted Yakman again for the bandwagoning. He may well have done this to give his previous vote for Yakman a logical foundation, in case people would wonder why he voted Yakman on day 2 without giving a reason
Only unlikely packmate is Ciryandor, and even that's doubtful. Showing pack behaviour with Walrus and Lemeard

walrus

First day random vote for Rysz, first player to vote. Later on he randomly unvoted Rysz and voted Snoopdogg, then only twenty minutes later switched to the_hdk with this intriguing post where he also made a possible crovaxian slip. This started the switches to the-hdk which eventually got him lynched
Second day he changed from his placeholder vote to Trespoe, tying him with Yakman, but this was almost certainly self-preservation as he too was in the running
Third he jumped on the meard bandwagon, changed to Snoop for no reason then switched back to Lemeard quite near the deadline which brought Lemmy one vote away from the lead
Voted me today for NO REASON
Unlikely packmates Lemeard (it does look a bit like a high risk wolf ploy, and Lemmy did vote to save Walrus on the 1st day, but there's no question Walrus nearly got Lemeard lynched)
Showing pack behaviour with Snoopdogg

Eternaly_Lost

Has made a few lengthy posts yet somehow slipped under the radar. As usual his spreadsheet is helpful to the village, at least to me, the hell I'm going to read the actual thread.
First day random, didn't switch. Second day voted Walrus, withthis post (it may not seem very interesting but he hasn't stood out in this game much and he needs a bit more exposure).
Third day voted Yakman, citing a possible Yakman-Lemeard wolf partnership IIRC.
All his votes have been early and they have not changed, makes sense if he is a wolf, trying to fly low but at the same time being just active enough to avoid being lynched for being quiet, and letting his more experienced packmates try to control the lynch
Unlikely packmates marty99, him and Yakman are the only players who voted him

Lord Strange
First day LSST. Second day was the third voter on Lemeard, saying TIES are evil etc. Third day voted Lemeard because his behaviour was odd. Both these votes were when Lemeard already had a number of votes
His behaviour is pretty much in line with his previous games, has been quiet quiet and voted for somebody already in the running
Unlikely packmates Lemeard

Snoopdogg
Again, nothing in his direct behaviour has been out of line with previous games
1st day he throwaway voted on jonti, this was his only vote, which is strange for him
2nd day voted Walrus then a couple of hours later said he was cleared, and changed to Trespoe, then continued campaigning for Trespoe to be lynched
Third day voted Syber, switched to Lemeard later, saying ''I'll switch if you switch''. Half an hour later when Lemmy didn't make a move he unvoted him anyway and switched to Yakman, and once again campaigned loudly for him to be lynched
Unlikely packmates Thistletooth, maybe Ciryandor
Showing pack behaviour with Walrus and Lemeard


This doesn't say an awful lot yet, but hopefully after tonight it might be useful, even if we don't get a wolf two more roles, and possibly the JL coming forward, and everything could fit together
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